Bates, MO · ZIP 64730 · Census Tract 29013070400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$103K
Downside (P10)
$78K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$108K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$149K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +44%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Bates markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $77K | $74K | $74K | $78K | $81K | $87K | $93K | $91K | $87K | $99K | $99K | $103K | $100K | $107K | $108K |
| YoY Change | -3.5% | +0.0% | +5.3% | +3.6% | +7.4% | +7.6% | -2.1% | -4.5% | +13.3% | +0.8% | +3.5% | -3.3% | +7.5% | +1.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $90K | $81K | $81K | $78K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $116K | $126K | $140K | $149K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$92K to $108K
16.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$78K to $149K
65.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Pleasant | $144K | $156K | +8.0% |
| Charlotte area | $206K | $234K | +13.6% |
| Shawnee area | $230K | $247K | +7.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte area | $206K | $234K | +13.6% |
| Mount Pleasant | $144K | $156K | +8.0% |
| Shawnee area | $230K | $247K | +7.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Pleasant | $144K | $156K | $70K |
| Charlotte area | $206K | $234K | $131K |
| Shawnee area | $230K | $247K | $137K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources