County 29578, MO · Census Tract 29578000584 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$464K
Downside (P10)
$334K
-28% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$552K
+19% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$894K
+93% by 2030
Base case: +19% by 2030, with a forecast range from -28% to +93%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 29578 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $464K | $515K | $518K | $521K | $552K |
| YoY Change | +11.0% | +0.6% | +0.5% | +6.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $395K | $345K | $346K | $334K | |
| Upside (P90) | $705K | $769K | $828K | $894K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$392K to $588K
42.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$334K to $894K
101.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001046 | $465K | $564K | +21.3% |
| Tract 001363 | $460K | $601K | +30.7% |
| Tract 001224 | $459K | $563K | +22.7% |
| Tract 001088 | $457K | $551K | +20.6% |
| Tract 000869 | $473K | $600K | +26.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001169 | $378K | $532K | +40.7% |
| Tract 000429 | $491K | $654K | +33.2% |
| Tract 001363 | $460K | $601K | +30.7% |
| Tract 000982 | $410K | $525K | +28.1% |
| Tract 000241 | $398K | $509K | +28.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001088 | $457K | $551K | $475K |
| Tract 001389 | $437K | $538K | $514K |
| Tract 001282 | $487K | $574K | $522K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources