County 29271, MO · Census Tract 29271002083 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$446K
Downside (P10)
$383K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$669K
+50% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.50M
+236% by 2030
Base case: +50% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +236%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 29271 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $446K | $571K | $598K | $617K | $669K |
| YoY Change | +28.0% | +4.8% | +3.1% | +8.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $395K | $385K | $371K | $383K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$341K to $675K
74.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$383K to $1.50M
166.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000920 | $445K | $655K | +47.3% |
| Tract 000784 | $442K | $734K | +66.3% |
| Tract 000726 | $451K | $661K | +46.7% |
| Tract 001987 | $438K | $731K | +66.8% |
| Tract 003668 | $455K | $698K | +53.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003684 | $417K | $731K | +75.3% |
| Tract 001987 | $438K | $731K | +66.8% |
| Tract 003024 | $410K | $684K | +66.7% |
| Tract 000784 | $442K | $734K | +66.3% |
| Tract 000629 | $373K | $612K | +63.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006102 | $306K | $419K | $187K |
| Tract 005624 | $291K | $373K | $194K |
| Tract 003286 | $300K | $378K | $195K |
| Tract 004065 | $334K | $406K | $197K |
| Tract 003244 | $326K | $439K | $203K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources