County 29306, MO · Census Tract 29306001221 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.40M
Downside (P10)
$1.47M
+5% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.87M
+34% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.56M
+83% by 2030
Base case: +34% by 2030, with a forecast range from +5% to +83%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 29306 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.8M | $1.9M |
| YoY Change | +10.8% | +5.3% | +7.5% | +6.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.5M | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.8M | $2.1M | $2.3M | $2.6M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.30M to $1.55M
17.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.47M to $2.56M
58.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000581 | $1.40M | $1.74M | +24.2% |
| Tract 002424 | $1.41M | $1.77M | +26.0% |
| Tract 002181 | $1.41M | $1.87M | +32.9% |
| Tract 000989 | $1.41M | $1.68M | +18.9% |
| Tract 001182 | $1.38M | $1.79M | +29.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002327 | $1.59M | $2.24M | +40.8% |
| Tract 001580 | $1.31M | $1.85M | +40.5% |
| Tract 000280 | $1.36M | $1.91M | +40.5% |
| Tract 000743 | $1.50M | $2.08M | +38.9% |
| Tract 001522 | $1.37M | $1.89M | +37.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001920 | $1.37M | $1.76M | $988K |
| Tract 001580 | $1.31M | $1.85M | $1.00M |
| Tract 000280 | $1.36M | $1.91M | $1.12M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources