County 29698, MO · Census Tract 29698000862 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$351K
Downside (P10)
$279K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$519K
+48% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$953K
+171% by 2030
Base case: +48% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +171%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 29698 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $351K | $429K | $461K | $483K | $519K |
| YoY Change | +22.3% | +7.4% | +4.7% | +7.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $316K | $301K | $297K | $279K | |
| Upside (P90) | $639K | $747K | $823K | $953K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$291K to $504K
60.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$279K to $953K
129.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000985 | $348K | $515K | +48.1% |
| Tract 000545 | $345K | $495K | +43.5% |
| Tract 001544 | $338K | $490K | +45.0% |
| Tract 001803 | $365K | $503K | +37.8% |
| Tract 000529 | $336K | $486K | +44.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000804 | $416K | $662K | +59.0% |
| Tract 002349 | $262K | $409K | +55.9% |
| Tract 000943 | $406K | $620K | +52.9% |
| Tract 002404 | $277K | $423K | +52.6% |
| Tract 002242 | $270K | $408K | +51.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002161 | $264K | $398K | $270K |
| Tract 002187 | $266K | $395K | $276K |
| Tract 002349 | $262K | $409K | $290K |
| Tract 002200 | $267K | $395K | $292K |
| Tract 002404 | $277K | $423K | $304K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources