County 29355, MO · Census Tract 29355001188 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.14M
Downside (P10)
$403K
-65% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$829K
-27% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.58M
+39% by 2030
Base case: -27% by 2030, with a forecast range from -65% to +39%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 29355 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.1M | $970K | $852K | $829K |
| YoY Change | -2.5% | -12.4% | -12.2% | -2.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $565K | $454K | $356K | $403K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.6M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$828K to $1.55M
63.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$403K to $1.58M
142.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000901 | $1.14M | $787K | -30.9% |
| Tract 000561 | $1.13M | $853K | -24.3% |
| Tract 001803 | $1.16M | $831K | -28.2% |
| Tract 000529 | $1.11M | $891K | -20.0% |
| Tract 000082 | $1.11M | $756K | -32.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 100047 | $312K | $471K | +50.8% |
| Tract 100500 | $316K | $456K | +44.4% |
| Tract 100241 | $322K | $456K | +41.9% |
| Tract 100607 | $318K | $450K | +41.7% |
| Tract 100283 | $307K | $425K | +38.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 100348 | $306K | $424K | $343K |
| Tract 100665 | $318K | $440K | $363K |
| Tract 100403 | $323K | $415K | $410K |
| Tract 100542 | $324K | $442K | $429K |
| Tract 100047 | $312K | $471K | $429K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources