County 29698, MO · Census Tract 29698001243 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$317K
Downside (P10)
$278K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$462K
+46% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$677K
+113% by 2030
Base case: +46% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +113%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 29698 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $317K | $359K | $381K | $418K | $462K |
| YoY Change | +13.2% | +6.0% | +9.9% | +10.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $280K | $273K | $274K | $278K | |
| Upside (P90) | $454K | $524K | $573K | $677K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$277K to $396K
37.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$278K to $677K
86.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001201 | $312K | $430K | +37.9% |
| Tract 001324 | $332K | $480K | +44.6% |
| Tract 000529 | $336K | $486K | +44.7% |
| Tract 001544 | $338K | $490K | +45.0% |
| Tract 000545 | $345K | $495K | +43.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000804 | $416K | $662K | +59.0% |
| Tract 002349 | $262K | $409K | +55.9% |
| Tract 000943 | $406K | $620K | +52.9% |
| Tract 002404 | $277K | $423K | +52.6% |
| Tract 002242 | $270K | $408K | +51.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002161 | $264K | $398K | $270K |
| Tract 002187 | $266K | $395K | $276K |
| Tract 002349 | $262K | $409K | $290K |
| Tract 002200 | $267K | $395K | $292K |
| Tract 002404 | $277K | $423K | $304K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources