County 29690, MO · Census Tract 29690004248 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$254K
Downside (P10)
$240K
-5% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$356K
+40% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$521K
+105% by 2030
Base case: +40% by 2030, with a forecast range from -5% to +105%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 29690 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $254K | $291K | $312K | $324K | $356K |
| YoY Change | +14.6% | +7.3% | +4.0% | +9.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $226K | $229K | $229K | $240K | |
| Upside (P90) | $373K | $423K | $448K | $521K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$222K to $310K
34.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$240K to $521K
78.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004206 | $251K | $361K | +44.0% |
| Tract 004303 | $249K | $352K | +41.4% |
| Tract 005441 | $259K | $374K | +44.4% |
| Tract 005467 | $259K | $365K | +40.9% |
| Tract 004442 | $247K | $341K | +37.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000161 | $312K | $478K | +53.0% |
| Tract 005027 | $320K | $468K | +46.4% |
| Tract 003087 | $244K | $357K | +46.3% |
| Tract 003045 | $246K | $360K | +46.3% |
| Tract 000145 | $276K | $401K | +45.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004303 | $249K | $352K | $250K |
| Tract 004442 | $247K | $341K | $267K |
| Tract 004206 | $251K | $361K | $278K |
| Tract 004060 | $245K | $348K | $282K |
| Tract 003443 | $279K | $389K | $285K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources