County 29269, MO · Census Tract 29269002189 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$593K
Downside (P10)
$438K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$636K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$860K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +45%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 29269 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $593K | $609K | $592K | $619K | $636K |
| YoY Change | +2.6% | -2.8% | +4.6% | +2.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $496K | $456K | $444K | $438K | |
| Upside (P90) | $718K | $770K | $819K | $860K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$536K to $659K
20.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$438K to $860K
66.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000343 | $595K | $746K | +25.4% |
| Tract 000505 | $596K | $709K | +18.9% |
| Tract 004064 | $589K | $815K | +38.3% |
| Tract 000589 | $587K | $746K | +27.0% |
| Tract 000262 | $599K | $784K | +30.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004226 | $385K | $682K | +77.0% |
| Tract 004242 | $461K | $762K | +65.3% |
| Tract 004381 | $396K | $633K | +59.9% |
| Tract 004268 | $467K | $709K | +51.9% |
| Tract 001782 | $604K | $850K | +40.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002202 | $515K | $598K | $398K |
| Tract 004080 | $492K | $657K | $407K |
| Tract 001025 | $514K | $638K | $435K |
| Tract 001481 | $521K | $651K | $468K |
| Tract 001423 | $526K | $619K | $470K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources