County 29855, MO · Census Tract 29855000456 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.04M
Downside (P10)
$399K
-62% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$886K
-15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.63M
+56% by 2030
Base case: -15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -62% to +56%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 29855 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.0M | $1.1M | $946K | $861K | $886K |
| YoY Change | +3.4% | -12.4% | -9.0% | +2.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $577K | $464K | $360K | $399K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.5M | $1.6M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$679K to $1.36M
65.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$399K to $1.63M
139.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000508 | $1.06M | $851K | -19.7% |
| Tract 000757 | $1.07M | $1.01M | -5.6% |
| Tract 001358 | $1.02M | $842K | -17.3% |
| Tract 001206 | $1.09M | $953K | -12.4% |
| Tract 001455 | $990K | $906K | -8.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000757 | $1.07M | $1.01M | -5.6% |
| Tract 001455 | $990K | $906K | -8.5% |
| Tract 001206 | $1.09M | $953K | -12.4% |
| Tract 000809 | $1.13M | $963K | -14.4% |
| Tract 000854 | $1.32M | $1.09M | -17.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000508 | $1.06M | $851K | $994K |
| Tract 000605 | $1.23M | $920K | $1.00M |
| Tract 001358 | $1.02M | $842K | $1.05M |
| Tract 001206 | $1.09M | $953K | $1.09M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources