County 29830, MO · Census Tract 29830240105 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$476K
Downside (P10)
$432K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$622K
+31% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$906K
+90% by 2030
Base case: +31% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +90%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 29830 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $476K | $516K | $540K | $573K | $622K |
| YoY Change | +8.5% | +4.5% | +6.1% | +8.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $419K | $423K | $419K | $432K | |
| Upside (P90) | $668K | $747K | $787K | $906K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$426K to $563K
28.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$432K to $906K
76.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240008 | $490K | $512K | +4.4% |
| Tract 600004 | $496K | $645K | +29.9% |
| Tract 880002 | $585K | $808K | +38.0% |
| Tract 560005 | $630K | $973K | +54.4% |
| Tract 640006 | $782K | $1.06M | +36.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 560005 | $630K | $973K | +54.4% |
| Tract 880002 | $585K | $808K | +38.0% |
| Tract 640006 | $782K | $1.06M | +36.1% |
| Tract 600004 | $496K | $645K | +29.9% |
| Tract 680008 | $858K | $964K | +12.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 600004 | $496K | $645K | $448K |
| Tract 240008 | $490K | $512K | $494K |
| Tract 560005 | $630K | $973K | $795K |
| Tract 200006 | $1.17M | $1.12M | $879K |
| Tract 880002 | $585K | $808K | $896K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources