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St Louis, MO · ZIP 63108 · Census Tract 29510112200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$187K
Downside (P10)
$168K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$195K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$258K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $123K | $116K | $116K | $99K | $90K | $97K | $110K | $111K | $165K | $185K | $187K | $189K | $193K | $195K |
| YoY Change | -5.6% | -0.3% | -14.7% | -8.6% | +6.7% | +13.8% | +1.4% | +47.8% | +12.7% | +0.9% | +1.2% | +1.7% | +1.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $170K | $168K | $168K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $223K | $234K | $258K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$170K to $223K
27.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$168K to $258K
46.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis · Saint Louis · (Tract 1122) | $188K | $195K | +3.7% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 102100) | $188K | $205K | +8.9% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 103400) | $189K | $206K | +8.8% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 104500) | $179K | $195K | +8.7% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 101200) | $187K | $201K | +7.6% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 126600) | $187K | $197K | +5.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis · Saint Louis · (Tract 1122) | $188K | $195K | +3.7% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 117400) | $351K | $419K | +19.3% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 109700) | $59K | $69K | +17.5% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 118100) | $410K | $481K | +17.4% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 123300) | $340K | $394K | +16.1% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 124200) | $225K | $261K | +16.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis · Saint Louis · (Tract 1122) | $188K | $195K | $90K | |
| St. Louis | $59K | $69K | $27K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.