County 28242, MS · Census Tract 28242511261 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$286K
Downside (P10)
$265K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$385K
+35% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$562K
+96% by 2030
Base case: +35% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +96%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 28242 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $286K | $331K | $353K | $361K | $385K |
| YoY Change | +15.8% | +6.5% | +2.3% | +6.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $258K | $251K | $259K | $265K | |
| Upside (P90) | $431K | $476K | $527K | $562K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$249K to $341K
32.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$265K to $562K
77.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 510482 | $288K | $394K | +36.5% |
| Tract 510961 | $283K | $368K | +30.1% |
| Tract 512105 | $283K | $395K | +39.7% |
| Tract 500285 | $281K | $390K | +39.0% |
| Tract 512503 | $294K | $424K | +44.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 511041 | $276K | $416K | +50.7% |
| Tract 512383 | $257K | $376K | +46.3% |
| Tract 510741 | $237K | $345K | +45.2% |
| Tract 512147 | $274K | $397K | +45.1% |
| Tract 512503 | $294K | $424K | +44.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 510741 | $237K | $345K | $237K |
| Tract 512105 | $283K | $395K | $248K |
| Tract 510385 | $253K | $355K | $249K |
| Tract 500463 | $261K | $364K | $252K |
| Tract 510440 | $255K | $353K | $256K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources