County 28273, MS · Census Tract 28273750321 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$286K
Downside (P10)
$242K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$355K
+24% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$535K
+87% by 2030
Base case: +24% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +87%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 28273 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $286K | $329K | $330K | $332K | $355K |
| YoY Change | +14.8% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +6.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $255K | $237K | $227K | $242K | |
| Upside (P90) | $406K | $435K | $460K | $535K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$249K to $328K
27.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$242K to $535K
82.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 750305 | $286K | $383K | +34.1% |
| Tract 750347 | $284K | $385K | +35.4% |
| Tract 750525 | $291K | $396K | +36.5% |
| Tract 750088 | $277K | $361K | +30.4% |
| Tract 750143 | $277K | $362K | +30.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 750402 | $265K | $373K | +40.6% |
| Tract 750525 | $291K | $396K | +36.5% |
| Tract 750347 | $284K | $385K | +35.4% |
| Tract 750305 | $286K | $383K | +34.1% |
| Tract 750143 | $277K | $362K | +30.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 750525 | $291K | $396K | $256K |
| Tract 750305 | $286K | $383K | $271K |
| Tract 750143 | $277K | $362K | $306K |
| Tract 750088 | $277K | $361K | $311K |
| Tract 750402 | $265K | $373K | $313K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources