County 37342, NC · Census Tract 37342320000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$577K
Downside (P10)
$277K
-52% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$631K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.11M
+92% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -52% to +92%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 37342 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $577K | $610K | $579K | $588K | $631K |
| YoY Change | +5.6% | -5.0% | +1.6% | +7.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $413K | $331K | $283K | $277K | |
| Upside (P90) | $881K | $954K | $982K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$455K to $778K
55.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$277K to $1.11M
132.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 440003 | $570K | $631K | +10.8% |
| Tract 140002 | $559K | $594K | +6.4% |
| Tract 180004 | $526K | $610K | +16.0% |
| Tract 890006 | $850K | $799K | -6.0% |
| Tract 640104 | $277K | $423K | +52.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640104 | $277K | $423K | +52.8% |
| Tract 200104 | $261K | $382K | +46.3% |
| Tract 180004 | $526K | $610K | +16.0% |
| Tract 440003 | $570K | $631K | +10.8% |
| Tract 140002 | $559K | $594K | +6.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200104 | $261K | $382K | $319K |
| Tract 640104 | $277K | $423K | $335K |
| Tract 140002 | $559K | $594K | $692K |
| Tract 180004 | $526K | $610K | $766K |
| Tract 440003 | $570K | $631K | $884K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources