County 37696, NC · Census Tract 37696340008 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$503K
Downside (P10)
$281K
-44% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$575K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$980K
+95% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -44% to +95%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 37696 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $503K | $545K | $541K | $538K | $575K |
| YoY Change | +8.3% | -0.8% | -0.5% | +6.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $360K | $330K | $295K | $281K | |
| Upside (P90) | $811K | $894K | $896K | $980K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$414K to $666K
50.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$281K to $980K
121.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 120008 | $545K | $760K | +39.4% |
| Tract 480007 | $567K | $574K | +1.2% |
| Tract 720000 | $604K | $538K | -11.0% |
| Tract 960006 | $723K | $819K | +13.4% |
| Tract 600007 | $173K | $255K | +47.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 600007 | $173K | $255K | +47.7% |
| Tract 400003 | $170K | $238K | +40.3% |
| Tract 120008 | $545K | $760K | +39.4% |
| Tract 960006 | $723K | $819K | +13.4% |
| Tract 480007 | $567K | $574K | +1.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400003 | $170K | $238K | $219K |
| Tract 600007 | $173K | $255K | $226K |
| Tract 120008 | $545K | $760K | $434K |
| Tract 960006 | $723K | $819K | $644K |
| Tract 720000 | $604K | $538K | $758K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources