County 37012, NC · Census Tract 37012921001 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$913K
Downside (P10)
$673K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.04M
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.86M
+103% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +103%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 37012 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $913K | $1.0M | $994K | $984K | $1.0M |
| YoY Change | +13.5% | -4.1% | -1.0% | +5.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $819K | $715K | $664K | $673K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.9M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$799K to $1.27M
51.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$673K to $1.86M
114.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840001 | $907K | $1.30M | +43.8% |
| Tract 280001 | $939K | $1.25M | +32.6% |
| Tract 000003 | $849K | $983K | +15.7% |
| Tract 480005 | $793K | $674K | -15.0% |
| Tract 160008 | $717K | $714K | -0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840001 | $907K | $1.30M | +43.8% |
| Tract 720008 | $621K | $851K | +37.0% |
| Tract 880003 | $228K | $308K | +35.2% |
| Tract 520004 | $643K | $855K | +33.1% |
| Tract 280001 | $939K | $1.25M | +32.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880003 | $228K | $308K | $220K |
| Tract 000003 | $849K | $983K | $419K |
| Tract 720008 | $621K | $851K | $543K |
| Tract 520004 | $643K | $855K | $631K |
| Tract 280001 | $939K | $1.25M | $631K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources