County 37692, NC · Census Tract 37692340002 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$416K
Downside (P10)
$252K
-39% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$490K
+18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$968K
+132% by 2030
Base case: +18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -39% to +132%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 37692 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $416K | $456K | $455K | $454K | $490K |
| YoY Change | +9.4% | -0.1% | -0.4% | +8.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $330K | $295K | $268K | $252K | |
| Upside (P90) | $669K | $723K | $781K | $968K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$330K to $541K
50.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$252K to $968K
146.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960000 | $485K | $652K | +34.5% |
| Tract 360008 | $327K | $453K | +38.5% |
| Tract 080003 | $529K | $656K | +24.0% |
| Tract 840007 | $544K | $624K | +14.8% |
| Tract 560002 | $188K | $256K | +36.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360008 | $327K | $453K | +38.5% |
| Tract 560002 | $188K | $256K | +36.3% |
| Tract 960000 | $485K | $652K | +34.5% |
| Tract 680005 | $183K | $244K | +33.5% |
| Tract 800005 | $831K | $1.06M | +27.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680005 | $183K | $244K | $182K |
| Tract 560002 | $188K | $256K | $254K |
| Tract 360008 | $327K | $453K | $474K |
| Tract 000009 | $1.02M | $1.07M | $554K |
| Tract 080003 | $529K | $656K | $620K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources