County 37340, NC · Census Tract 37340320002 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$460K
Downside (P10)
$372K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$625K
+36% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.15M
+150% by 2030
Base case: +36% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +150%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 37340 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $460K | $501K | $527K | $576K | $625K |
| YoY Change | +9.0% | +5.2% | +9.4% | +8.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $353K | $332K | $348K | $372K | |
| Upside (P90) | $753K | $840K | $980K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$369K to $626K
56.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$372K to $1.15M
124.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 440005 | $431K | $556K | +29.0% |
| Tract 600007 | $403K | $504K | +25.1% |
| Tract 720000 | $576K | $513K | -10.9% |
| Tract 760109 | $282K | $455K | +61.2% |
| Tract 680001 | $700K | $747K | +6.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760109 | $282K | $455K | +61.2% |
| Tract 120008 | $1.03M | $1.49M | +44.3% |
| Tract 800108 | $1.14M | $1.58M | +39.4% |
| Tract 440005 | $431K | $556K | +29.0% |
| Tract 600007 | $403K | $504K | +25.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760109 | $282K | $455K | $353K |
| Tract 880102 | $977K | $947K | $594K |
| Tract 440005 | $431K | $556K | $596K |
| Tract 600007 | $403K | $504K | $606K |
| Tract 880005 | $792K | $826K | $644K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources