County 38160, ND · Census Tract 38160480008 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$859K
Downside (P10)
$382K
-56% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$760K
-12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.35M
+57% by 2030
Base case: -12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -56% to +57%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 38160 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $859K | $875K | $796K | $731K | $760K |
| YoY Change | +1.8% | -9.0% | -8.2% | +4.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $505K | $437K | $388K | $382K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$609K to $1.15M
62.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$382K to $1.35M
127.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920005 | $956K | $922K | -3.5% |
| Tract 840004 | $739K | $736K | -0.4% |
| Tract 880006 | $656K | $713K | +8.6% |
| Tract 760003 | $520K | $630K | +21.2% |
| Tract 600008 | $401K | $535K | +33.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 320003 | $194K | $268K | +38.5% |
| Tract 600008 | $401K | $535K | +33.3% |
| Tract 760003 | $520K | $630K | +21.2% |
| Tract 880006 | $656K | $713K | +8.6% |
| Tract 840004 | $739K | $736K | -0.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 320003 | $194K | $268K | $237K |
| Tract 600008 | $401K | $535K | $388K |
| Tract 760003 | $520K | $630K | $721K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources