County 38042, ND · Census Tract 38042760008 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$478K
Downside (P10)
$269K
-44% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$505K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$982K
+105% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -44% to +105%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 38042 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $478K | $519K | $512K | $491K | $505K |
| YoY Change | +8.6% | -1.5% | -4.0% | +2.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $322K | $285K | $260K | $269K | |
| Upside (P90) | $816K | $847K | $862K | $982K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$381K to $675K
61.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$269K to $982K
141.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 120004 | $447K | $569K | +27.3% |
| Tract 380006 | $567K | $622K | +9.8% |
| Tract 040003 | $638K | $553K | -13.3% |
| Tract 640005 | $298K | $416K | +39.5% |
| Tract 320008 | $259K | $347K | +33.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640005 | $298K | $416K | +39.5% |
| Tract 160006 | $814K | $1.12M | +38.0% |
| Tract 320008 | $259K | $347K | +33.6% |
| Tract 120004 | $447K | $569K | +27.3% |
| Tract 360000 | $721K | $794K | +10.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640005 | $298K | $416K | $311K |
| Tract 320008 | $259K | $347K | $318K |
| Tract 120004 | $447K | $569K | $581K |
| Tract 160006 | $814K | $1.12M | $658K |
| Tract 040003 | $638K | $553K | $684K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources