County 38553, ND · Census Tract 38553440008 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.05M
Downside (P10)
$880K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.24M
+18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.72M
+63% by 2030
Base case: +18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +63%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 38553 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | +19.1% | -2.8% | -1.4% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.0M | $947K | $898K | $880K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$956K to $1.22M
24.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$880K to $1.72M
68.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800004 | $443K | $457K | +3.3% |
| Tract 760005 | $140K | $186K | +33.0% |
| Tract 920104 | $135K | $176K | +30.4% |
| Tract 560108 | $121K | $167K | +37.9% |
| Tract 320005 | $104K | $143K | +37.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200002 | $53K | $76K | +43.3% |
| Tract 560108 | $121K | $167K | +37.9% |
| Tract 320005 | $104K | $143K | +37.8% |
| Tract 760005 | $140K | $186K | +33.0% |
| Tract 920104 | $135K | $176K | +30.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200002 | $53K | $76K | $91K |
| Tract 320005 | $104K | $143K | $147K |
| Tract 560108 | $121K | $167K | $156K |
| Tract 920104 | $135K | $176K | $166K |
| Tract 760005 | $140K | $186K | $189K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources