County 31156, NE · Census Tract 31156004505 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$309K
Downside (P10)
$297K
-4% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$445K
+44% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$655K
+112% by 2030
Base case: +44% by 2030, with a forecast range from -4% to +112%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 31156 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $309K | $354K | $379K | $403K | $445K |
| YoY Change | +14.5% | +7.1% | +6.5% | +10.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $275K | $270K | $280K | $297K | |
| Upside (P90) | $465K | $516K | $587K | $655K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$270K to $373K
33.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$297K to $655K
80.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001061 | $309K | $420K | +36.1% |
| Tract 005407 | $308K | $454K | +47.4% |
| Tract 005326 | $310K | $466K | +50.5% |
| Tract 000923 | $310K | $430K | +38.5% |
| Tract 000868 | $310K | $468K | +50.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003849 | $256K | $420K | +64.1% |
| Tract 002206 | $213K | $342K | +60.2% |
| Tract 003247 | $204K | $325K | +59.7% |
| Tract 004204 | $212K | $325K | +52.9% |
| Tract 006286 | $262K | $400K | +52.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003360 | $209K | $269K | $246K |
| Tract 006480 | $262K | $365K | $246K |
| Tract 002206 | $213K | $342K | $250K |
| Tract 006422 | $214K | $300K | $252K |
| Tract 002727 | $210K | $307K | $255K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources