County 31340, NE · Census Tract 31340000784 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$4.28M
Downside (P10)
$1.81M
-58% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.64M
-38% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.17M
-26% by 2030
Base case: -38% by 2030, with a forecast range from -58% to -26%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 31340 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $4.3M | $4.0M | $3.4M | $2.8M | $2.6M |
| YoY Change | -6.4% | -15.2% | -16.6% | -7.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $3.0M | $2.4M | $2.0M | $1.8M | |
| Upside (P90) | $4.4M | $3.9M | $3.3M | $3.2M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.54M to $4.63M
25.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.81M to $3.17M
51.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000904 | $4.25M | $2.61M | -38.7% |
| Tract 000441 | $4.39M | $2.81M | -36.0% |
| Tract 000564 | $4.05M | $2.47M | -38.9% |
| Tract 000580 | $4.00M | $2.18M | -45.5% |
| Tract 000823 | $3.94M | $2.43M | -38.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000441 | $4.39M | $2.81M | -36.0% |
| Tract 000522 | $4.69M | $2.98M | -36.5% |
| Tract 000823 | $3.94M | $2.43M | -38.4% |
| Tract 000904 | $4.25M | $2.61M | -38.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000904 | $4.25M | $2.61M | $1.35M |
| Tract 000522 | $4.69M | $2.98M | $1.36M |
| Tract 000564 | $4.05M | $2.47M | $1.39M |
| Tract 000441 | $4.39M | $2.81M | $1.46M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources