What is the home price forecast for Tract 720003?

Homecastr forecasts Tract 720003 median home values at $773,163 currently, with a 5-year expected change of -4.2%.

How confident is the Tract 720003 forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $429,535 (downside) to $1,282,164 (upside), with a spread of 115% of median.

Tract 720003 Home Price Forecast

County 33781, NH · Census Tract 33781720003 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$773K

Downside (P10)

$430K

-44% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$741K

-4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.28M

+66% by 2030

Base case: -4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -44% to +66%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 33781 markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$773K	$824K	$777K	$716K	$741K
YoY Change		+6.6%	-5.7%	-8.0%	+3.5%
Downside (P10)		$598K	$461K	$427K	$430K
Upside (P90)		$1.2M	$1.2M	$1.2M	$1.3M

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.

1-Year Spread

$633K to $970K

43.6% of median

5-Year Spread

$430K to $1.28M

115.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: mild decline expected5yr expected: -4.2% · Spread: 115%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The model sees some downside pressure from rate sensitivity and local supply dynamics.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 400006	$859K	$927K	+7.9%
Tract 240004	$894K	$987K	+10.5%
Tract 840006	$918K	$916K	-0.2%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 240004	$894K	$987K	+10.5%
Tract 400006	$859K	$927K	+7.9%
Tract 840006	$918K	$916K	-0.2%

Lower Risk Alternatives

Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	Spread
Tract 840006	$918K	$916K	$877K
Tract 400006	$859K	$927K	$955K
Tract 240004	$894K	$987K	$1.13M

Location

Tract 720003 on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).