County 32385, NV · Census Tract 32385002254 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$637K
Downside (P10)
$410K
-36% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$681K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.12M
+76% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -36% to +76%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 32385 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $637K | $674K | $636K | $646K | $681K |
| YoY Change | +5.9% | -5.7% | +1.6% | +5.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $470K | $427K | $408K | $410K | |
| Upside (P90) | $898K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$540K to $816K
43.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$410K to $1.12M
104.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005769 | $634K | $629K | -0.8% |
| Tract 005565 | $646K | $637K | -1.4% |
| Tract 001459 | $624K | $630K | +0.9% |
| Tract 001608 | $653K | $718K | +10.0% |
| Tract 005280 | $671K | $805K | +20.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000502 | $392K | $488K | +24.6% |
| Tract 005280 | $671K | $805K | +20.0% |
| Tract 001556 | $686K | $798K | +16.3% |
| Tract 005484 | $566K | $643K | +13.6% |
| Tract 001200 | $575K | $649K | +12.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000502 | $392K | $488K | $422K |
| Tract 005808 | $590K | $632K | $583K |
| Tract 005484 | $566K | $643K | $668K |
| Tract 005387 | $674K | $743K | $690K |
| Tract 005581 | $573K | $623K | $697K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources