County 32435, NV · Census Tract 32435002146 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$350K
Downside (P10)
$330K
-6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$501K
+43% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$752K
+115% by 2030
Base case: +43% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +115%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 32435 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $350K | $388K | $423K | $460K | $501K |
| YoY Change | +11.0% | +9.0% | +8.8% | +8.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $318K | $304K | $306K | $330K | |
| Upside (P90) | $495K | $594K | $657K | $752K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$303K to $420K
33.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$330K to $752K
84.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002081 | $350K | $473K | +35.2% |
| Tract 000229 | $350K | $507K | +45.0% |
| Tract 000546 | $350K | $467K | +33.3% |
| Tract 001383 | $348K | $464K | +33.2% |
| Tract 000902 | $348K | $486K | +39.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001642 | $310K | $483K | +55.8% |
| Tract 001707 | $317K | $489K | +54.1% |
| Tract 001846 | $320K | $481K | +50.2% |
| Tract 002023 | $310K | $465K | +50.0% |
| Tract 001163 | $304K | $455K | +49.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000847 | $310K | $404K | $316K |
| Tract 001163 | $304K | $455K | $364K |
| Tract 000588 | $344K | $483K | $384K |
| Tract 000944 | $319K | $445K | $386K |
| Tract 001545 | $315K | $446K | $392K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources