County 32720, NV · Census Tract 32720002864 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.06M
Downside (P10)
$678K
-36% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.02M
-4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.71M
+61% by 2030
Base case: -4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -36% to +61%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 32720 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.0M | $999K | $1.0M |
| YoY Change | +3.1% | -5.1% | -4.0% | +2.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $843K | $728K | $692K | $678K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$939K to $1.32M
35.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$678K to $1.71M
100.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002903 | $1.05M | $811K | -23.0% |
| Tract 002822 | $1.10M | $830K | -24.5% |
| Tract 002806 | $1.10M | $984K | -10.5% |
| Tract 002929 | $1.12M | $964K | -13.7% |
| Tract 002628 | $851K | $840K | -1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002181 | $465K | $557K | +19.6% |
| Tract 002042 | $468K | $522K | +11.6% |
| Tract 001784 | $469K | $517K | +10.1% |
| Tract 001629 | $503K | $552K | +9.8% |
| Tract 002262 | $512K | $558K | +9.0% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources