County 32720, NV · Census Tract 32720003588 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$690K
Downside (P10)
$247K
-64% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$611K
-11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.23M
+78% by 2030
Base case: -11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -64% to +78%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 32720 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $690K | $672K | $608K | $589K | $611K |
| YoY Change | -2.6% | -9.6% | -3.0% | +3.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $349K | $262K | $235K | $247K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$481K to $940K
66.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$247K to $1.23M
161.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003766 | $698K | $616K | -11.8% |
| Tract 003229 | $700K | $693K | -0.9% |
| Tract 003504 | $707K | $657K | -7.1% |
| Tract 003122 | $708K | $632K | -10.7% |
| Tract 004066 | $721K | $663K | -8.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002181 | $465K | $557K | +19.6% |
| Tract 002042 | $468K | $522K | +11.6% |
| Tract 001784 | $469K | $517K | +10.1% |
| Tract 001629 | $503K | $552K | +9.8% |
| Tract 002262 | $512K | $558K | +9.0% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources