County 32432, NV · Census Tract 32432009003 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.04M
Downside (P10)
$1.44M
-30% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.86M
-9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.42M
+19% by 2030
Base case: -9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -30% to +19%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 32432 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.0M | $2.2M | $2.1M | $1.9M | $1.9M |
| YoY Change | +8.8% | -7.7% | -9.1% | -0.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.8M | $1.7M | $1.5M | $1.4M | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.7M | $2.5M | $2.4M | $2.4M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.82M to $2.31M
23.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.44M to $2.42M
52.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 008907 | $2.04M | $1.79M | -12.1% |
| Tract 009087 | $1.93M | $1.50M | -22.0% |
| Tract 009207 | $1.92M | $1.67M | -13.0% |
| Tract 009100 | $2.18M | $1.46M | -33.0% |
| Tract 009168 | $1.88M | $1.71M | -8.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003287 | $152K | $235K | +55.3% |
| Tract 003216 | $148K | $199K | +34.9% |
| Tract 008868 | $1.83M | $1.84M | +0.5% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources