County 36762, NY · Census Tract 36762680101 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$901K
Downside (P10)
$380K
-58% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$786K
-13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.42M
+58% by 2030
Base case: -13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -58% to +58%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 36762 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $901K | $914K | $837K | $754K | $786K |
| YoY Change | +1.5% | -8.4% | -9.9% | +4.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $559K | $461K | $390K | $380K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$656K to $1.15M
55.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$380K to $1.42M
132.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400103 | $1.06M | $1.27M | +19.7% |
| Tract 240004 | $637K | $640K | +0.6% |
| Tract 880008 | $635K | $623K | -2.0% |
| Tract 360007 | $631K | $624K | -1.0% |
| Tract 800004 | $493K | $516K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000008 | $356K | $553K | +55.4% |
| Tract 040000 | $292K | $419K | +43.8% |
| Tract 200002 | $297K | $411K | +38.4% |
| Tract 840006 | $450K | $570K | +26.5% |
| Tract 400103 | $1.06M | $1.27M | +19.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 040000 | $292K | $419K | $266K |
| Tract 200002 | $297K | $411K | $271K |
| Tract 000008 | $356K | $553K | $464K |
| Tract 840006 | $450K | $570K | $538K |
| Tract 240004 | $637K | $640K | $676K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources