County 40524, OK · Census Tract 40524320006 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$542K
Downside (P10)
$402K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$721K
+33% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.17M
+115% by 2030
Base case: +33% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +115%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 40524 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $542K | $644K | $661K | $649K | $721K |
| YoY Change | +18.9% | +2.5% | -1.8% | +11.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $448K | $431K | $396K | $402K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The range stays consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$439K to $840K
74.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$402K to $1.17M
106.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 040001 | $599K | $822K | +37.2% |
| Tract 680102 | $603K | $817K | +35.5% |
| Tract 000009 | $424K | $498K | +17.5% |
| Tract 760006 | $376K | $423K | +12.6% |
| Tract 240005 | $306K | $426K | +39.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680005 | $135K | $190K | +41.4% |
| Tract 640003 | $125K | $176K | +40.9% |
| Tract 920008 | $252K | $354K | +40.1% |
| Tract 240005 | $306K | $426K | +39.2% |
| Tract 040001 | $599K | $822K | +37.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640003 | $125K | $176K | $146K |
| Tract 520000 | $149K | $193K | $150K |
| Tract 280007 | $121K | $164K | $150K |
| Tract 680005 | $135K | $190K | $178K |
| Tract 240005 | $306K | $426K | $295K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources