County 40574, OK · Census Tract 40574960102 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$601K
Downside (P10)
$557K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$829K
+38% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.39M
+131% by 2030
Base case: +38% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +131%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 40574 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $601K | $665K | $690K | $759K | $829K |
| YoY Change | +10.6% | +3.7% | +10.0% | +9.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $546K | $510K | $519K | $557K | |
| Upside (P90) | $877K | $976K | $1.1M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$548K to $721K
28.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$557K to $1.39M
100.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 040006 | $594K | $809K | +36.2% |
| Tract 840002 | $540K | $612K | +13.3% |
| Tract 560007 | $759K | $858K | +13.2% |
| Tract 000004 | $434K | $535K | +23.3% |
| Tract 640008 | $411K | $549K | +33.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720106 | $133K | $189K | +42.6% |
| Tract 080008 | $203K | $289K | +42.0% |
| Tract 040006 | $594K | $809K | +36.2% |
| Tract 640008 | $411K | $549K | +33.7% |
| Tract 880004 | $357K | $451K | +26.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720106 | $133K | $189K | $183K |
| Tract 080008 | $203K | $289K | $224K |
| Tract 640008 | $411K | $549K | $328K |
| Tract 880004 | $357K | $451K | $488K |
| Tract 000004 | $434K | $535K | $493K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources