County 40522, OK · Census Tract 40522880108 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$553K
Downside (P10)
$506K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$661K
+20% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$867K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +20% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +57%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 40522 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $553K | $593K | $598K | $613K | $661K |
| YoY Change | +7.1% | +0.9% | +2.4% | +8.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $499K | $469K | $477K | $506K | |
| Upside (P90) | $729K | $754K | $800K | $867K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$499K to $636K
24.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$506K to $867K
54.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840009 | $482K | $534K | +10.7% |
| Tract 120004 | $710K | $689K | -3.0% |
| Tract 720006 | $380K | $483K | +27.2% |
| Tract 080005 | $748K | $1.09M | +46.1% |
| Tract 000001 | $355K | $430K | +21.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080005 | $748K | $1.09M | +46.1% |
| Tract 200005 | $232K | $323K | +39.2% |
| Tract 640005 | $134K | $182K | +36.3% |
| Tract 720006 | $380K | $483K | +27.2% |
| Tract 000001 | $355K | $430K | +21.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640005 | $134K | $182K | $126K |
| Tract 200005 | $232K | $323K | $241K |
| Tract 000001 | $355K | $430K | $426K |
| Tract 720006 | $380K | $483K | $560K |
| Tract 840009 | $482K | $534K | $655K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources