County 40865, OK · Census Tract 40865800104 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$563K
Downside (P10)
$563K
-0% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$778K
+38% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.09M
+94% by 2030
Base case: +38% by 2030, with a forecast range from -0% to +94%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 40865 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $563K | $619K | $663K | $712K | $778K |
| YoY Change | +9.9% | +7.1% | +7.4% | +9.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $517K | $519K | $531K | $563K | |
| Upside (P90) | $751K | $863K | $955K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$499K to $677K
31.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$563K to $1.09M
68.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840009 | $650K | $755K | +16.3% |
| Tract 000001 | $659K | $744K | +12.8% |
| Tract 240007 | $456K | $554K | +21.4% |
| Tract 280009 | $392K | $564K | +44.0% |
| Tract 880001 | $388K | $493K | +27.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160006 | $356K | $546K | +53.4% |
| Tract 280009 | $392K | $564K | +44.0% |
| Tract 960002 | $279K | $390K | +39.6% |
| Tract 880001 | $388K | $493K | +27.1% |
| Tract 240007 | $456K | $554K | +21.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960002 | $279K | $390K | $292K |
| Tract 880001 | $388K | $493K | $327K |
| Tract 280009 | $392K | $564K | $379K |
| Tract 240007 | $456K | $554K | $565K |
| Tract 160006 | $356K | $546K | $698K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources