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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Marion, OR · Census Tract 41047200000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$207K
Downside (P10)
$220K
+6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$305K
+47% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$405K
+96% by 2030
Base case: +47% by 2030, with a forecast range from +6% to +96%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $207K | $241K | $256K | $281K | $305K |
| YoY Change | +16.6% | +6.1% | +9.8% | +8.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $191K | $197K | $201K | $220K | |
| Upside (P90) | $298K | $328K | $365K | $405K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$191K to $298K
44.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$220K to $405K
60.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200000 | $207K | $305K | +47.4% | |
| Marion (Tract 920005) | $223K | $327K | +46.3% | |
| Marion (Tract 240002) | $107K | $154K | +44.4% | |
| Marion (Tract 080204) | $105K | $146K | +38.8% | |
| Marion (Tract 000006) | $105K | $145K | +37.1% | |
| Marion (Tract 400004) | $128K | $168K | +31.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200000 | $207K | $305K | +47.4% | |
| Marion (Tract 920005) | $223K | $327K | +46.3% | |
| Marion (Tract 240002) | $107K | $154K | +44.4% | |
| Marion (Tract 080204) | $105K | $146K | +38.8% | |
| Marion (Tract 000006) | $105K | $145K | +37.1% | |
| Marion (Tract 400004) | $128K | $168K | +31.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200000 | $207K | $305K | $185K | |
| Marion (Tract 920005) | $223K | $327K | $225K | |
| Marion (Tract 240002) | $107K | $154K | $132K | |
| Marion (Tract 080204) | $105K | $146K | $129K | |
| Marion (Tract 000006) | $105K | $145K | $124K | |
| Marion (Tract 400004) | $128K | $168K | $112K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources