County 46172, SD · Census Tract 46172720007 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$245K
Downside (P10)
$248K
+1% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$364K
+48% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$526K
+114% by 2030
Base case: +48% by 2030, with a forecast range from +1% to +114%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 46172 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $245K | $287K | $304K | $320K | $364K |
| YoY Change | +16.8% | +6.1% | +5.1% | +13.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $232K | $225K | $222K | $248K | |
| Upside (P90) | $366K | $409K | $488K | $526K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$214K to $296K
33.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$248K to $526K
76.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400000 | $244K | $371K | +52.1% |
| Tract 360001 | $242K | $380K | +56.9% |
| Tract 840000 | $240K | $346K | +44.0% |
| Tract 440002 | $240K | $393K | +64.1% |
| Tract 000002 | $239K | $344K | +43.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 520003 | $235K | $387K | +64.3% |
| Tract 440002 | $240K | $393K | +64.1% |
| Tract 800008 | $238K | $388K | +63.0% |
| Tract 160007 | $198K | $317K | +59.9% |
| Tract 360001 | $242K | $380K | +56.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920001 | $237K | $365K | $267K |
| Tract 840000 | $240K | $346K | $303K |
| Tract 520003 | $235K | $387K | $318K |
| Tract 800008 | $238K | $388K | $327K |
| Tract 000002 | $239K | $344K | $331K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources