County 48600, TX · Census Tract 48600001380 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$320K
Downside (P10)
$360K
+12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$497K
+55% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$729K
+128% by 2030
Base case: +55% by 2030, with a forecast range from +12% to +128%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 48600 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $320K | $368K | $409K | $455K | $497K |
| YoY Change | +14.9% | +11.4% | +11.2% | +9.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $300K | $310K | $321K | $360K | |
| Upside (P90) | $454K | $532K | $608K | $729K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$284K to $379K
29.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$360K to $729K
74.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001681 | $323K | $506K | +56.4% |
| Tract 002305 | $324K | $493K | +52.0% |
| Tract 001348 | $316K | $528K | +67.2% |
| Tract 000187 | $316K | $440K | +39.4% |
| Tract 001665 | $324K | $480K | +47.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001348 | $316K | $528K | +67.2% |
| Tract 001788 | $326K | $533K | +63.7% |
| Tract 001542 | $358K | $576K | +61.2% |
| Tract 000967 | $337K | $534K | +58.3% |
| Tract 001681 | $323K | $506K | +56.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000925 | $304K | $440K | $295K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources