Roanoke, VA · ZIP 24179 · Census Tract 51161031101 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$189K
Downside (P10)
$160K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$193K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$287K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +52%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Roanoke markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $141K | $140K | $141K | $145K | $146K | $150K | $154K | $172K | $178K | $187K | $190K | $189K | $191K | $195K | $193K |
| YoY Change | -0.4% | +0.6% | +2.7% | +0.7% | +2.7% | +3.2% | +11.3% | +3.7% | +4.7% | +1.7% | -0.4% | +0.9% | +2.5% | -1.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $171K | $167K | $165K | $160K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $214K | $225K | $251K | $287K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$179K to $202K
12.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$160K to $287K
66.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hollins | $221K | $270K | +21.8% |
| Catawba | $442K | $534K | +20.7% |
| Cave Spring | $384K | $447K | +16.3% |
| Cave Spring | $249K | $290K | +16.3% |
| Vinton | $218K | $253K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vinton | $195K | $224K | $109K |
| Catawba | $211K | $231K | $110K |
| Hollins | $207K | $224K | $130K |
| Cave Spring | $249K | $290K | $137K |
| Cave Spring | $283K | $293K | $144K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources