County 50033, VT · Census Tract 50033080005 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$4.92M
Downside (P10)
$2.01M
-59% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$3.06M
-38% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.67M
-25% by 2030
Base case: -38% by 2030, with a forecast range from -59% to -25%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 50033 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $4.9M | $4.7M | $4.0M | $3.3M | $3.1M |
| YoY Change | -3.8% | -16.2% | -17.4% | -6.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $3.7M | $2.9M | $2.2M | $2.0M | |
| Upside (P90) | $5.4M | $4.6M | $3.9M | $3.7M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$4.19M to $5.36M
23.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$2.01M to $3.67M
54.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 120004 | $3.69M | $2.32M | -37.3% |
| Tract 520002 | $3.62M | $2.11M | -41.6% |
| Tract 280009 | $3.49M | $2.14M | -38.8% |
| Tract 960002 | $2.61M | $1.89M | -27.6% |
| Tract 200005 | $7.44M | $4.97M | -33.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640005 | $870K | $761K | -12.6% |
| Tract 760008 | $2.02M | $1.50M | -25.4% |
| Tract 960002 | $2.61M | $1.89M | -27.6% |
| Tract 200005 | $7.44M | $4.97M | -33.1% |
| Tract 120004 | $3.69M | $2.32M | -37.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640005 | $870K | $761K | $806K |
| Tract 760008 | $2.02M | $1.50M | $1.19M |
| Tract 960002 | $2.61M | $1.89M | $1.40M |
| Tract 520002 | $3.62M | $2.11M | $1.43M |
| Tract 120004 | $3.69M | $2.32M | $1.58M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources