Hardy, WV · ZIP 26836 · Census Tract 54031970102 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$156K
Downside (P10)
$116K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$163K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$219K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +41%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Hardy markets.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $170K | $179K | $160K | $167K | $154K | $156K | $153K | $162K | $163K |
| YoY Change | +4.8% | -10.6% | +4.7% | -7.8% | +1.0% | -1.6% | +5.9% | +0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $115K | $112K | $116K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $190K | $215K | $219K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The range stays consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$115K to $190K
49.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$116K to $219K
62.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Old Fields | $152K | $163K | +7.7% | |
| South Fork | $162K | $173K | +6.6% | |
| Lost River | $175K | $189K | +8.0% | |
| Moorefield | $119K | $127K | +7.0% | |
| Capon | $207K | $233K | +12.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Old Fields | $152K | $163K | +7.7% | |
| Capon | $207K | $233K | +12.4% | |
| Lost River | $175K | $189K | +8.0% | |
| Moorefield | $119K | $127K | +7.0% | |
| South Fork | $162K | $173K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Old Fields | $152K | $163K | $103K | |
| Moorefield | $119K | $127K | $74K | |
| South Fork | $162K | $173K | $107K | |
| Lost River | $175K | $189K | $129K | |
| Capon | $207K | $233K | $154K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.