County 56106, WY · Census Tract 56106004459 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.08M
Downside (P10)
$446K
-59% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$848K
-21% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.48M
+38% by 2030
Base case: -21% by 2030, with a forecast range from -59% to +38%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 56106 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.0M | $905K | $828K | $848K |
| YoY Change | -3.0% | -13.3% | -8.4% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $611K | $459K | $426K | $446K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$815K to $1.46M
60.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$446K to $1.48M
121.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003007 | $1.08M | $873K | -18.9% |
| Tract 005005 | $1.07M | $884K | -17.4% |
| Tract 004653 | $1.08M | $913K | -15.8% |
| Tract 000602 | $1.07M | $908K | -14.8% |
| Tract 006305 | $1.09M | $817K | -25.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001452 | $823K | $831K | +0.9% |
| Tract 000505 | $984K | $973K | -1.1% |
| Tract 003450 | $1.19M | $1.17M | -2.3% |
| Tract 003557 | $1.25M | $1.22M | -2.3% |
| Tract 003858 | $944K | $911K | -3.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003557 | $1.25M | $1.22M | $711K |
| Tract 003450 | $1.19M | $1.17M | $833K |
| Tract 002150 | $1.01M | $929K | $1.00M |
| Tract 006305 | $1.09M | $817K | $1.02M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources