County 56420, WY · Census Tract 56420001785 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$280K
Downside (P10)
$234K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$359K
+28% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$496K
+77% by 2030
Base case: +28% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +77%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 56420 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $280K | $321K | $331K | $334K | $359K |
| YoY Change | +14.6% | +3.3% | +0.9% | +7.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $248K | $238K | $230K | $234K | |
| Upside (P90) | $399K | $429K | $449K | $496K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$248K to $337K
31.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$234K to $496K
73.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001769 | $280K | $371K | +32.5% |
| Tract 000249 | $280K | $371K | +32.7% |
| Tract 004708 | $280K | $380K | +35.6% |
| Tract 002784 | $280K | $357K | +27.5% |
| Tract 003385 | $280K | $365K | +30.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003000 | $293K | $413K | +41.1% |
| Tract 004229 | $281K | $394K | +40.5% |
| Tract 004245 | $282K | $396K | +40.4% |
| Tract 004122 | $292K | $406K | +39.4% |
| Tract 000825 | $284K | $393K | +38.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001581 | $275K | $352K | $268K |
| Tract 003181 | $285K | $374K | $271K |
| Tract 003385 | $280K | $365K | $273K |
| Tract 001743 | $286K | $377K | $277K |
| Tract 001646 | $279K | $378K | $284K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources