County 56540, WY · Census Tract 56540001461 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.22M
Downside (P10)
$799K
-35% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.17M
-5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.61M
+32% by 2030
Base case: -5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -35% to +32%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 56540 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | +3.9% | -6.1% | -2.5% | +0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.1M | $899K | $831K | $799K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.6M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.12M to $1.46M
28.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$799K to $1.61M
69.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001364 | $1.20M | $1.10M | -8.6% |
| Tract 001267 | $1.19M | $1.24M | +4.4% |
| Tract 001005 | $1.30M | $1.62M | +24.2% |
| Tract 001500 | $1.09M | $1.08M | -0.4% |
| Tract 000802 | $1.03M | $1.54M | +49.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001649 | $907K | $1.39M | +53.7% |
| Tract 000802 | $1.03M | $1.54M | +49.3% |
| Tract 000967 | $864K | $1.29M | +48.9% |
| Tract 000682 | $1.02M | $1.50M | +46.8% |
| Tract 001005 | $1.30M | $1.62M | +24.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000666 | $924K | $922K | $694K |
| Tract 001445 | $895K | $922K | $734K |
| Tract 000967 | $864K | $1.29M | $758K |
| Tract 001500 | $1.09M | $1.08M | $760K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources