What is the home price forecast for Parcel 02020001401 in Anchorage?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $384,377 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 02020001401 in Anchorage?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $384,377 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.7%.

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Parcel 02020001401 (Anchorage) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 02020001401, Anchorage Home Price Forecast

Anchorage, AK · ZIP 99503 · Census Tract 02020001401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$384K

Downside (P10)

$342K

-11% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$430K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$561K

+46% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$285K	$288K	$342K	$361K	$364K	$384K	$394K	$413K	$430K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$99,277	-$96,377	-$42,577	-$23,477	-$20,677		+$9,720	+$28,368	+$45,124
Growth % vs 2026	-25.8%	-25.1%	-11.1%	-6.1%	-5.4%		+2.5%	+7.4%	+11.7%
Downside (P10)							$355K	$349K	$342K
Upside (P90)							$482K	$504K	$561K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$355K to $482K

32.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$342K to $561K

51.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.7% · Spread: 51%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 02020001401, Anchorage on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).