What is the home price forecast for Parcel 02020002714 in Anchorage?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $449,060 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 19.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 02020002714 in Anchorage?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $449,060 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 19.4%.

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Parcel 02020002714 (Anchorage) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 02020002714, Anchorage Home Price Forecast

Anchorage, AK · ZIP 99515 · Census Tract 02020002714 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$449K

Downside (P10)

$416K

-7% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$536K

+19% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$734K

+63% by 2030

Base case: +19% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +63%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$348K	$372K	$386K	$386K	$431K	$449K	$475K	$515K	$536K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$100,660	-$77,560	-$63,160	-$63,060	-$18,460		+$26,043	+$65,923	+$87,081
Growth % vs 2026	-22.4%	-17.3%	-14.1%	-14.0%	-4.1%		+5.8%	+14.7%	+19.4%
Downside (P10)							$406K	$413K	$416K
Upside (P90)							$597K	$671K	$734K

Forecast Confidence

67%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$406K to $597K

40.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$416K to $734K

59.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +19.4% · Spread: 59%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 02020002714, Anchorage on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).