County 02155, AK · Census Tract 02155800166 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$3.98M
Downside (P10)
$2.64M
-34% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$3.04M
-24% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.39M
-15% by 2030
Base case: -24% by 2030, with a forecast range from -34% to -15%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 02155 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $4.0M | $4.0M | $3.6M | $3.0M | $3.0M |
| YoY Change | +1.7% | -11.5% | -15.0% | -0.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $3.7M | $3.2M | $2.7M | $2.6M | |
| Upside (P90) | $4.4M | $4.0M | $3.3M | $3.4M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.69M to $4.23M
13.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$2.64M to $3.39M
24.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800564 | $4.12M | $3.12M | -24.4% |
| Tract 800360 | $4.15M | $3.25M | -21.7% |
| Tract 800768 | $4.21M | $3.18M | -24.4% |
| Tract 800904 | $3.69M | $2.80M | -24.2% |
| Tract 801123 | $4.32M | $3.07M | -29.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800645 | $3.32M | $2.77M | -16.6% |
| Tract 800425 | $3.26M | $2.69M | -17.5% |
| Tract 800522 | $3.36M | $2.74M | -18.6% |
| Tract 800043 | $2.90M | $2.36M | -18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800043 | $2.90M | $2.36M | $561K |
| Tract 800904 | $3.69M | $2.80M | $640K |
| Tract 800205 | $3.43M | $2.63M | $649K |
| Tract 800823 | $3.35M | $2.70M | $659K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources