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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 02155, AK · Census Tract 02155800425 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$3.26M
Downside (P10)
$2.27M
-31% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.69M
-17% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.00M
-8% by 2030
Base case: -17% by 2030, with a forecast range from -31% to -8%. The model forecasts this with 85% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $3.3M | $3.4M | $3.1M | $2.7M | $2.7M |
| YoY Change | +3.8% | -9.4% | -12.3% | +0.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $3.0M | $2.7M | $2.3M | $2.3M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.6M | $3.4M | $3.0M | $3.0M |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.05M to $3.64M
17.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$2.27M to $3.00M
27.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800425 | $3.26M | $2.69M | -17.5% | |
| Tract 800645 | $3.32M | $2.77M | -16.6% | |
| Tract 800522 | $3.36M | $2.74M | -18.6% | |
| Tract 800823 | $3.35M | $2.70M | -19.4% | |
| Tract 800328 | $3.23M | $2.50M | -22.8% | |
| Tract 800205 | $3.43M | $2.63M | -23.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800425 | $3.26M | $2.69M | -17.5% | |
| Tract 001400 | $135K | $235K | +74.7% | |
| Tract 000800 | $79K | $136K | +72.5% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources