County 02246, AK · Census Tract 02246002700 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$431K
Downside (P10)
$462K
+7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$628K
+46% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$864K
+100% by 2030
Base case: +46% by 2030, with a forecast range from +7% to +100%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 02246 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $431K | $504K | $566K | $599K | $628K |
| YoY Change | +17.1% | +12.2% | +5.8% | +4.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $433K | $451K | $447K | $462K | |
| Upside (P90) | $611K | $726K | $784K | $864K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$387K to $486K
22.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$462K to $864K
63.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003800 | $442K | $576K | +30.1% |
| Tract 003500 | $386K | $559K | +45.0% |
| Tract 002300 | $503K | $634K | +26.0% |
| Tract 001900 | $323K | $475K | +46.8% |
| Tract 003000 | $321K | $451K | +40.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001100 | $168K | $263K | +56.7% |
| Tract 003700 | $247K | $374K | +51.7% |
| Tract 000900 | $220K | $330K | +49.8% |
| Tract 000300 | $202K | $299K | +48.0% |
| Tract 001900 | $323K | $475K | +46.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001000 | $175K | $251K | $209K |
| Tract 000200 | $213K | $312K | $232K |
| Tract 000300 | $202K | $299K | $244K |
| Tract 003700 | $247K | $374K | $250K |
| Tract 003000 | $321K | $451K | $260K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources