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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Anchorage, AK · ZIP 99501 · Census Tract 02020000500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$595K
Downside (P10)
$506K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$632K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$827K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $340K | $356K | $368K | $383K | $379K | $395K | $465K | $522K | $482K | $573K | $595K | $603K | $633K | $632K |
| YoY Change | +4.6% | +3.5% | +4.1% | -1.2% | +4.3% | +17.8% | +12.2% | -7.7% | +18.9% | +3.8% | +1.3% | +5.1% | -0.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $511K | $508K | $506K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $688K | $731K | $827K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$511K to $688K
29.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$506K to $827K
50.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anchorage | $584K | $632K | +8.2% | |
| Anchorage (Tract 002822) | $604K | $674K | +11.6% | |
| Anchorage (Tract 002900) | $563K | $625K | +11.1% | |
| Anchorage (Tract 002812) | $578K | $613K | +6.0% | |
| Anchorage (Tract 001300) | $641K | $675K | +5.2% | |
| Anchorage (Tract 001200) | $546K | $567K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anchorage | $584K | $632K | +8.2% | |
| Anchorage (Tract 002714) | $442K | $536K | +21.2% | |
| Anchorage (Tract 002713) | $446K | $518K | +16.2% | |
| Anchorage (Tract 002304) | $383K | $444K | +15.8% | |
| Anchorage (Tract 001401) | $371K | $430K | +15.6% | |
| Anchorage (Tract 002305) | $367K | $422K | +14.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anchorage | $584K | $632K | $322K | |
| Anchorage (Tract 000701) | $277K | $311K | $151K | |
| Anchorage (Tract 002100) | $317K | $349K | $142K | |
| Anchorage (Tract 001802) | $185K | $212K | $109K | |
| Anchorage (Tract 000802) | $144K | $154K | $104K | |
| Anchorage (Tract 000901) | $105K | $115K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.